This weekend looks to be quite calm with temperatures near or just below normal. Winds will be light and out of the west bring some milder conditions than what has been seen earlier this week. Heating demand this weekend will be low across much of Europe but that will change next week as a trough will begin to dig into central Europe bring cool gusty conditions.
Winds throughout the UK will be very wet and windy especially Saturday. This weather will begin to spread southward as the weekend progresses bringing the sour weather into London Sunday and Monday. Following the precipitation, conditions will be blustery and cool. The front will be crossing the North Sea on Sunday and will bring the cool rain and blustery conditions into Northern Germany on Monday (see animation below). Winds will be strong with this system so electricity production will be high on the many wind farms in Germany, coal prices should come down some as energy production ramps up.
This cold weather will carry right over into November which will start a cooler than normal month. HDD values are forecast to be about 4% higher than last year in Berlin. Similar trends will be seen in London, Paris and Madrid. Further south and east, HDD values will be very similar to slightly below the values observed last year for the month of November. A full November outlook will be issued the middle of next week.
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